🧭 Overview
🧠 One-sentence thesis
Successful new product development requires navigating multiple stages from idea generation through commercialization while balancing factors like consumer needs, market timing, and resource synergy to achieve competitive advantage.
📌 Key points (3–5)
- New product categories: Five types exist—new-to-world, new-to-firm, product line additions, improvements/revisions, and repositioned products—each requiring different strategies.
- Customer perception of newness: Innovations range from discontinuous (radical behavior change required) to continuous (minimal habit change) to dynamically continuous (moderate adjustment).
- Nine-stage development process: From idea generation through evaluation of results, each stage filters and refines concepts to maximize success probability.
- Success vs. failure factors: Success correlates with unique benefits, proper planning, and synergy; failure stems from misunderstanding needs, wrong targeting, or poor timing.
- Common confusion: Not all "new" products are equally novel—a product can be new to a company but already exist in the market, requiring different adoption strategies than truly innovative offerings.
🎯 Categories and perceptions of new products
🎯 Five product categories
The excerpt identifies distinct types of new products based on their relationship to existing markets and company offerings:
| Category | Definition | Example from excerpt |
|---|
| New-to-world | Create entirely new markets | Biomagnetic ear stickers, portable blenders |
| New-to-firm | New to company but exist elsewhere | Nature Valley adding granola bars to cereal line |
| Product line additions | Extensions within existing lines | Coca-Cola Cherry, Vanilla varieties |
| Improvements/revisions | Enhanced versions of current products | Meta's Oculus Quest 2 updating original Quest |
| Repositioned | Retargeted for different use | Bayer aspirin for heart attack prevention |
Why this matters: Understanding the category helps determine development resources needed, competitive positioning, and consumer education requirements.
📊 Three levels of innovation newness
Discontinuous innovation: New-to-the-world products requiring significant consumer behavior changes when adopted.
Continuous innovation: Marginal product changes that don't alter customer habits.
Dynamically continuous innovation: Some consumer habit changes necessary, but not as extensive as discontinuous innovation.
Plain language: Think of a spectrum—at one end, smartphones completely changed how we communicate (discontinuous). At the other end, sharper TV pictures didn't change viewing habits (continuous). In the middle, personal computers changed typing from typewriters but kept the same keyboard layout (dynamically continuous).
Don't confuse: The product category (new-to-world vs. new-to-firm) with the innovation level (discontinuous vs. continuous). A new-to-firm product might only be continuous innovation if similar products already trained consumers.
🎢 The nine-stage development process
🎢 Early stages: Generating and filtering ideas
Stage 1: Idea generation
- Goal: Create as many ideas as possible from internal sources (R&D, employees) or external sources (customers, suppliers, competitors)
- Example from excerpt: A food company marketer identifies a gap for high-protein freeze-dried yogurt powder for smoothies
Stage 2: Idea screening and evaluation
- Purpose: Filter ideas to those most likely profitable, dropping less favorable ones
- The team sifts through numerous product concepts to reach the best idea
Stage 3: Concept development and testing
Product idea: A new product that a company could potentially offer to the market.
Product concept: The perception of a new idea or innovation.
Concept testing: A market research method in which customers are presented with a description of a product or service.
The excerpt illustrates this with three concepts for yogurt powder:
- Instant breakfast drink
- High-protein snack more nutritious than plain juice
- Post-workout protein replenishment for athletes
Each concept defines different competition—breakfast foods, beverages, or protein shakes respectively.
Testing process: Present target customers with descriptions and ask questions like "How likely would you be to purchase?" using five-point scales (definitely would purchase to definitely would not purchase).
🏗️ Middle stages: Strategy and analysis
Stage 4: Market strategy development
- Develop preliminary marketing strategy addressing target market, positioning, pricing, distribution, promotion, budget
- Set short- and long-term goals for sales, market share, profit
Stage 5: Business analysis
- Assess business appeal: Will sales be sufficient for desired profit?
- Two key analyses:
- Payback: Time frame to recover investment
- Break-even analysis: Units that must be sold before making profit
If anticipated profits don't satisfy company objectives, the concept is shelved.
🔬 Later stages: Building and testing
Stage 6: Product development
Prototype: A physical version of the product concept.
The excerpt warns that sometimes concepts can't translate into commercially feasible products. Example: Maxwell House determined a desired coffee blend was too expensive to produce commercially, so they changed it—but the new taste didn't meet expectations and flopped.
Testing methods: Functional tests (Shaw Industries pays temporary employees to walk on carpet samples eight hours daily) and customer tests (Gillette volunteers test razors and complete questionnaires).
Stage 7: Test-marketing
The excerpt describes several methods:
- Sales-wave research (least costly): Consumers try product free, then are reoffered it or competitor's product at reduced price multiple times to measure selection and satisfaction
- Controlled test-marketing: Company arranges for certain stores to carry product, manages shelf position and pricing, measures scanner results
- Full test-marketing (most expensive but best): Launch in representative cities with full advertising campaign before national/global scale
- Simulated test-markets: Expose consumers to simulated situations, interview at concept stage and after use
- Crowdsourcing: Use large group input, particularly useful for apps and websites
Top US test-market cities mentioned: Nashville, Cincinnati, Indianapolis, Charleston, Jacksonville.
🚀 Final stages: Launch and evaluation
Stage 8: Commercialization
- Launch with full-scale production, distribution, advertising, sales promotion
- Cost varies by product, industry, and competition
Stage 9: Evaluation of results
Monitor questions like:
- Is the product accepted by consumers?
- Is there sufficiently high demand, sales, profits?
- Are competitors introducing similar products?
Make changes as needed in marketing plan and marketing mix strategy.
Don't confuse: Test-marketing (Stage 7) with commercialization (Stage 8). Test-marketing is limited-scale to gauge viability; commercialization is full launch.
📏 Measuring new product success
📏 Key performance indicators (KPIs)
Product metrics: Quantifiable data that a business tracks and analyzes to determine how successful its new product(s) are.
The excerpt identifies several important metrics:
R&D spending as percentage of sales
- Compares effectiveness between companies in same industry
- Formula: R&D dollars spent ÷ total sales
- Note: Varies widely by industry (pharmaceutical/software spend more than consumer products)
Current year percentage of sales
- Calculates cost of goods sold, inventory, cash as percentage of sales
- Applies that percentage to future sales estimates
- Described as "quick and dirty" estimation method
Time to value (TTV)
- How long until new users recognize product value (the "aha!" moment)
- Varies by product: Kindle book downloads in seconds vs. magazine subscriptions taking days/weeks
Product adoption rate
- Process by which people learn about product and start using features
- Formula: Number of new users ÷ total number of users
Return on investment (ROI)
- Measures profitability of investment
- Formula: (Sales growth - marketing costs) ÷ marketing costs × 100
- Example from excerpt: $100,000 sales growth with $20,000 marketing cost = 400% ROI
✅ Success factors for new products
✅ What makes products succeed
The excerpt identifies a "recipe for success" with key factors:
Delivering unique benefits to users
- Product design, features, and benefits are often the bellwether
- Research shows innovative products with unique benefits have five times the success rate of products with fewer differentiation elements
- Example: Dollar Shave Club succeeded by recognizing Gillette's prices were too high, men prefer not shopping in stores for shaving supplies, and subscription boxes were gaining traction
Planning before development
- Thoroughly define product before development: target market, product concept, customer needs/wants, requirements
- Research demonstrates: Products with well-defined predevelopment activities had 75% success rate vs. just over 31% for products lacking these activities
Technological synergy and quality
Technological synergy: When a new product is built on the firm's existing technological resources.
Products with strong fit between project needs and company's existing technological/production resources are typically much more successful. The further from current technology, the less likely success.
Marketing synergy and quality
Marketing synergy: The fit between the needs of the new product development project and the company's sales, advertising resources, customer service capabilities, distribution, and marketing research.
Products where marketing synergy existed were 2.3 times more likely to be successful than products lacking it.
Market attractiveness
- Considers: short/long-term profit, market growth rate, current competition, cost of entry, customer need satisfaction
- Example: KFC's 11 Herbs and Spices Firelog addressed falling holiday sales by making homes smell like fried chicken—sold out in three hours with 5,000 user-generated social posts
❌ What causes products to fail
Failure statistics: The excerpt cites Harvard professor Clayton Christensen suggesting 30,000 new products launch yearly with 95% failure rate. Product Development and Management Association found rates varying from 35% (healthcare) to 49% (consumer goods).
Failure to understand consumer needs and wants
- Example: Google Glass "smart glasses" (2013) claimed "technology should work for you," but consumers didn't want or need the product
- Other devices had longer battery life, faster processors, better cameras, lower prices
- Google discontinued development in 2015
Targeting the wrong market
- Even great technology fails if you can't reach right people at right time
- Example: Microsoft's Zune (2006) tried challenging Apple iPod but Microsoft admitted it was "just chasing Apple" with little incentive for consumers to switch
Lack of product point of difference
- Products must satisfy unique need or satisfy existing function in new ways
- Example: Google+ (2011) couldn't distinguish itself from Facebook
- Google shut down personal accounts in 2019
Prolonged development/delayed market entry
- Taking too long allows economy downturns, consumer need changes, or new competitors
- Example: Amazon Fire Phone took four years to develop; by 2014 launch, Apple and Android had several smartphone generations available
- Amazon ceased production after just one year
Poor pricing or cost structure
- Adding too many innovative features increases production costs
- Market may not be willing to pay more for "new and improved" product
Don't confuse: Factors contributing to success with factors preventing failure—they're not simply opposites. Success requires proactive strengths (unique benefits, synergy); failure often results from reactive mistakes (wrong targeting, poor timing).
👥 Consumer adoption process and categories
👥 Five stages consumers go through
Consumer adoption process: Stages consumers go through in adopting a new product (also called "hierarchy of effects model").
Stage 1: Product awareness
- Creating awareness that product is available
- Strategy might include social media presence to reach many customers at low cost
- Example: Seeing TV commercial for mouthwash that whitens teeth while rinsing
Stage 2: Product interest
- Consumers aware and intrigued
- Company should provide accessible information: website, blog posts, tutorials, videos
- Example: Calling your dentist brother to ask about the mouthwash product
Stage 3: Product evaluation
- Consumers examine, compare, evaluate before buying
- Often look to social media, online reviews, recommendations
- Example: Internet search to read mouthwash reviews before purchasing
Stage 4: Product trial
- Consumer actually tries product
- Might be free sample in store or "100% money-back guarantee" trial
- Stage where marketers hope product delivers on expectations
Stage 5: Product adoption
- Consumers ready to buy online or in retail store
- Marketers should make acquisition and payment process seamless
🌊 Diffusion of innovation characteristics
Diffusion of innovation: Theory about how products gain momentum and spread through a population or society.
Five characteristics affecting adoption rate:
Relative advantage: How much better is the new product than what it replaces? (Based on consumer perception; easier to recognize advantages = quicker adoption)
Compatibility: Level at which innovation fits into society due to economic, lifestyle, cultural reasons. Example: PCs were compatible with middle-class lifestyles (quick adoption) vs. birth control incompatible with some religious beliefs/cultural values (slow adoption)
Complexity: How difficult for adopter to understand and use? Higher difficulty = less likely adoption. Example: Returning products because too complicated to use.
Divisibility: Ability to give product a "test run" before purchasing. Example: Touchless test drives during COVID-19—car brought to shopper's home, wiped with disinfectant, consumer drives alone while delivery person waits.
Communicability: Ability to effectively communicate benefits and results, when observable and describable to others. Example: Would you share Peloton bike results with others if results weren't favorable?
Important note: Diffusion is a two-step process:
- From mass media (advertising) to individual
- Personal influence: Communication between individuals where people affect others' purchasing decisions due to authority, knowledge, or position (Example: Kylie Jenner with 250+ million Instagram followers)
👤 Five adopter categories
Scholar Everett Rogers (1962) identified five categories:
| Category | Characteristics | Percentage | Example behavior |
|---|
| Innovators | Risk-takers, higher income, well-educated, buy immediately | ~2.5% | Lines around Apple stores on release day |
| Early adopters | Opinion leaders, well-educated, best target for innovations | ~13.5% | Friends/neighbors seek their product advice |
| Early majority | Above-average education/income, followers, accept innovation before "average person" | ~34% | Look to innovators/early adopters before buying |
| Late majority | Slow to catch on, limited income/education, unwilling to take chances | ~34% | Buy only after half the population does |
| Laggards | Leery of new ideas, more in tune with past than future | ~16% | By the time they adopt, new version already replacing it |
Don't confuse: Someone being a laggard in one category with being a laggard in all categories. The excerpt asks: "Can someone be a laggard in one category and an early majority in another?" (This is posed as a discussion question, suggesting the answer is yes.)
⚖️ Ethical considerations
⚖️ Intellectual property protection
Key definitions:
Patents: Secure the right to exclude others from making, using, or offering for sale the invention you've developed. US patents generally last 20 years from application filing.
Copyrights: Original works of authorship including software, songs, television shows, motion pictures.
Trademarks: Words or symbols legally registered or established by use as representing a company or product.
Intellectual property (IP): Collective term for patents, copyrights, and trademarks.
Real consequences: The excerpt notes "Big Tech" companies like Apple, Microsoft, Google have paid hundreds of millions in patent lawsuits. Examples:
- March 2021: Jury ruled Apple infringed patents, ordered to pay $300+ million to Personalized Media Communications LLC
- 2021: Judge ruled Google infringed five Sonos patents, potentially banning imports of Google Home and Pixel smartphones
Penalties include: Civil damages, lost profits, injunctions, payment of other party's attorneys' fees, even felony charges with prison time.
⚖️ Three methods of exercising due care
Conduct a trademark search
- Know if anyone else already uses the mark before investing time/resources
- Example: Takeda Pharmaceuticals required to change antidepressant drug name from Brintellix to Trintellix due to consumer confusion with anti-blood-clotting drug Brilinta
File a trademark application
- Provides bona fide statement of intention to use mark within six months
Conduct a patent search
- For technological/scientific inventions
- Patent excludes others from making, using, selling claimed invention for 20 years
⚖️ Personal data ethics
Companies collecting personal data must consider:
- What information is embedded in systems design
- How much data is really needed from users
- Where data will be stored
- When and how it will be disposed of after use
Example: Meta (Facebook)
- Came under fire including whistleblower scandal revealing company "chooses profits over safety"
- Hired Zvika Krieger to Responsible Innovation Team (RIT) to focus on ethical issues in engineering and design
- RIT involved in decision to disallow filtering dating app results by race
- Note: Krieger departed Meta and RIT was dissolved in 2022, with members moving to other areas where they might influence decisions more directly
Don't confuse: Legal compliance with ethical responsibility. The excerpt emphasizes companies must go beyond avoiding IP violations to carefully considering data collection, storage, and disposal practices.